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The safest way, how to speculate.

Posted in: Speculation,Swamp by Jaromír Adámek on October 16, 2008. Post tags: , , , ,

It’s irony, that the safest way, how you may make some money is the intra-day trading (you not holding any opened position when is market closed).

Why :) ? Because you watching price, when you are in the market, very carefully , and if something will happen you ejecting the market in the speed of light :) . Problem is, that If stock going up, it’s in small steps, but if stock going down, it’s so quick :( .

(image from the FIO broker)

In the Czech market every big falls are in the first 5-10 minutes!!! It’s the fucking ride, where you losing a bunch of money! Isn’t worster situation, when you watching graph, which going 8% down in 5 minutes and YOU CAN’T SELL (small liquidity, or it’s simply too quick). So be in the long position holded in days is real “pleasure”.  What will do price in next morning… who know, you may pray to take price up.

When you will be the noob, your idea will be to find good stock, buy it and hold it for weeks or months. What a mistake!

All the “professionals” in the TV, newspapers talking about :) :

This is the direct way to the hell !

The safest way, how to speculate and make some money in the market, is to find good broker (quick command execution, low spread, low commission), good market with high liquidity and trade it intra-daily . For example buy when price going up, and sell after only 20 minutes with small profit. This is the real safe way .

If you will not trade intra-daily, you may receive some nice two “punches” as is -15% and -25% and whole your property will be gone!

Stop-Loss command may save your ass too, but if is liquidity on the market too low and market fluctuate heavy, you can’t use it… It’s seriously big risk to not use Stop-Loss command, you must watch market myself and reject manually (and it may be too late…).

Trendline trading.

Posted in: Investment by Jaromír Adámek on September 25, 2008. Post tags: , , , , , , , ,

Graph (FIO broker) is from big SPAD (EU – Czech Republic) market. My orders was placed on the small RMS market, where the price fluctuate heavy +-5 CZK around SPAD . At RMS I usually buy better :) than on the SPAD market, but I must sell quicker, when the price go up at the SPAD. If the price start falling down at the SPAD the RMS accepting only very low price :( .

Buy:

Firstly I draw red line under minimums and green line at the expected profit .

The minimum for 24. 9. 2008 was from  596 to +-597, the price go down to 593, i place order and bought at 591,3 :) .


(click to enlarge)

Sell:

Now I must little wait and look market very carefully, if it will go down i will sell! This is the most difficult part :( !!! I must be strong, and if market not return to usual limits, it’s regular breakout and price will FALL DOWN HEAVY!

Market go up for whole day, with large correction in 15-16 hours (as everyday…, everyone ending in this hour his positions).

Today 25. 9. 2008 I watch the USA market (USA storing lot of money in the CR market…), which fall down to -0.27% (NASDAQ 0%), so i can’t expect any large push up in price! At the 11 hours I meet my internal goal of +-400 (410 wasn’t realistic according to the USA results), so i placed sell order at the nice 399,7 and wait. If someone will buy it, or the price will go up (if go up, i will cancel the order and wait). Someone buy my stocks at the 401 and i realized nice profit :) .


(click to enlarge)

So this is way, how I’m today make some money





 

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